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Study Name -
Know Sure Thing

 
 

Description

  • Invented by Martin Pring, it is a weighted average ROC (Rate of Change) of four different periods
  • Author has used 9, 12, 18, 24 as default bars for 4 different ROC used to build single line of KST
  • Weight is given to each period based on its length. Higher the length more is weight to make values smooth and filtering short-term noise
  • Since ROC is a very sensitive price change, KST considers price changes, which are significant and trigger trend reversal
 

Interpretation

  • In order to give early signal of change in price, average of KST is plot to give crossover signal
  • If Roc moves above zero levels, price is in positive trend
  • If Roc moves below zero levels, price is in negative trend
 
 

Default Parameters Used/Inputs

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  • High Line
  • Low Line
  • Period
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Returns/Output

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Know Sure Thing value of the stock based on parameters

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Formula

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KST = ∑ (Smoothen(Rate of Change) * Weighted)
Calculation is carried out as :
Rate of Change

Rate of Change Smoothing Factor x Weighting Total
9-month ROC 6-month MA x 1 6
12-month ROC 6-month MA x 2 12
18-month ROC 6-month MA x 3 18
24-month ROC 9-month MA x 4 36
ROC % = ((Today's close - Close n period ago) / (Close n period ago)) * 100

 
 
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